Atypical pneumonia epidemic 2019. Maybe not just virus.

by Leonid Sakharov

Starting in the fall of 2019, reports began to appear about an increase in cases of atypically occurring pneumonia (pneumonia), first in China, in Wuhan. The Wuhan Institute of Virology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences operates in the same city. There, the gene of the coronovirus found in patients with atypical pneumonia was deciphered, and after that the disease was called by the name of this virus COVID-19.

It should be noted that specific testing for a new virus is an extremely difficult procedure and conducting extensive research among healthy populations regarding the presence of this recently discovered virus is extremely difficult and, if conducted elsewhere, little is known about this. In one German town found https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/09/999015/blood-tests-show-15-of-people-are-now-immune-to-covid-19-in-one -town-in-germany /, that 2% were actively sick, and 14% seemed to have received immunity. (The exact wording here is extremely difficult because the presence of antibodies is still not 100% proof of immunity after infection. It is believed that a healthy person had a disease without notice it if antibodies are found, and he would no longer be under risk of infection. If I were such a person, I would have been wary of it. God salvages conscious ones.)

According to the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, cdc.gov, approximately 10 to 20% of people with flu or pneumonia-like symptoms showed this novel coronovirus. From the same source, you can find out that when the United States almost stopped communicating between people at the end of March, the number of people diagnosed with the flu almost dropped to the zero, to the level lower than the base for this time of the last five years.

Social distancing measures (soft quarantine) killed the flu in the United States. Over the same period of time, a new disease, atypical pneumonia began and has being continued to grow exponentially, reaching a level comparable to the peak of the flu epidemic. Isolation of the population acted magically on influenza, and it may have affected a new disease, but itís not so obvious. Due to the fact that the induction period of a disease after infection with a new disease is considered up to two weeks, the absence of immediate results of quarantine can be explained by the fact that already a lot of people were infected before its introduction. May be.

Another interpretation of the available information is theoretically possible. Assume that the pathogenic factor causing the new disease is not the only virus. Perhaps this is a combination of the virus plus some unknown factor, or even that the virus is only a co-factor. For example, what if there was a pollution of the atmosphere with some highly toxic compound, which is an industrial by-product of something completely innocent. The technology may have recently been changed for optimization, by-products, as usual, have been released into the atmosphere for general consumption. People began to get sick where this novel pollution exceeded the toxic level.

An indirect fact confirming this hypothesis is the sudden cessation of the epidemic in its initial center, the city of Wuhan in China. There goverment shut down all production and the air cleared. Maybe this unknown toxin was blown away by wind? Who knows ... Maybe we should look around and sniff more closely. Quarantine, this, okay, is the inevitable standard response to the epidemic, how else can the authorities react to show their importance. In all countries, this is the first and natural reaction. But it would also be nice to ask the right questions to get accurate scientific answers to them.

For example - how reliably is reproduced: the chain course and effects: a person in contact with a virus carrier has become infected, the virus develops in his body, the person becomes ill after some time. What is the probability of this happening under controlled conditions? It is clear that while there is a panic, there are no such studies, but sometime it will have to start to test the vaccine. For flu, they did this at the Institute named after him.

And I would really like someone to take care to analyze the air (including dust in it) in cities, these are epidemic centers, for the presence of anomalies in the chemical composition on the trace level. Maybe there is a certain component that correlates with the number of diseases?

Apr. 13, 2020; 11:46 EST

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